Friday, August 21, 2009

Analysis cum Take away counter

Few days ago I read few articles on Balochistan Issue, between India and Pakistan, based on different perspectives i.e Pro India and Pro Pakistan. Then I researched and thought. :P
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Though we don't hear much about Balochistan in newspapers today, but in fact this region has been having problems since time of Independence ( i.e 1947). Issue being - Baloch Sardars ,native Balochs, struggling for autonomy against Pakistan government. Pakistan wont allow this as Balochistan,an immense desert , has huge quantities of natural gas and unexplored oil reserves and is the largest Pakistani province in terms of area, covering almost 48 per cent of the country. Balochistan is also rich in uranium and copper, it accounts for less than 4% of Pakistan's 173 million population.

Another perspective is to look at the issue is American interest in the region . Pipeline war between IPI and TAPI. IPI is the Iran-Pakistan-India pipeline(Iranian to Pakistani Balochistan). TAPI is US-backed Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India pipeline (western Afghanistan via Herat and to Kandahar and Gwadar). Gwadar port , considered to be new Dubai, is the key. Gwadar port developed my Chinese on turnkey basis, is important for China for oil supply from Iran. Cause of concern for USA is that Chinese may turn Gwadar into naval base jeopardizing US interests in the region. So if Balochistan is unstable US profits from it on both fronts i.e. on pipeline issue and the strategic issue, related to China.

So, in short Iran, India,China,USA and Pakistan all are involved in some way or the other in Balochistan issue.

The recent issue is centered around Pakistan blaming RAW, India's intelligence agency, for promoting terrorist activities in the region. Maybe to take heat off the November attack.

The point that I want to make is when so many forces are at interplay and I read articles about our MP's arguing and slashing and blaming Dr. Singh for his response , given at Sharm-El-Shaikh, I feel they are just politically motivated to charge on him for each and every thing he does**. I say we'll never know what is happening in Balochistan as we are not in the thick of things.


So , I think about what should be the most basic issue we should be thinking about - Baloch people. But as always no mention of them , mango people as always squeezed. Its always about cui bono? its always about whats in it for me?

One issue ( Balochistan) - Entities driving their own interests (using the issue) -- BJP for making political agenda to demean Dr. Singh ( though loose connect i.e Balochistan - Pakistan statement at Sharm-El-Shaikh) ,Pakistan to take heat off November attacks,US for pipelines and rivalry against China, Iran,China and Me( for writing a blog to say

" Use every opportunity to make your point or to make a gain" :p)



**( As for the foreign policy, my take is if to stabilize the region,Balochistan, we have to discuss it with Pakistan why not ? as in the end if pipeline is constructed , assuming Balochistan is stabilized, India will be benefited.)

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